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Bitcoin’s Unreliable Death Cross Is Looming Again

Bitcoin’s Death Cross, a pattern where the 50-day SMA falls below the 200-day SMA, is looming again. However, this indicator has a poor track record of accurately predicting future price trends. Inexperienced traders often overreact to the death cross, causing unnecessary panic. The previous death cross in September 2023 turned out to be a bear trap, with Bitcoin bottoming out and eventually reaching new record highs. Out of the previous nine death crosses, only five resulted in prolonged downtrends. Therefore, the death cross should not be relied upon as a standalone indicator. Bitcoin’s near-term prospects are dependent on factors such as the U.S. economy and volatility in the Japanese yen.