XRP’s “Most Realistic” Chart Targets $10 by Early 2027 as Market Pullback Deepens
Analyst Celal Küçüker has laid out what he calls the “most realistic” chart for XRP, with a possible run to $10 sometime between December 2026 and February 2027. I’ll be honest: that is not a shy target. XRP is down 38% year to date, and the current pullback still looks heavy across much of crypto. Bad timing? Maybe. But that is usually when these bigger chart calls start getting argued over.
His case comes from a rising price channel that has held for more than six years. The structure started forming on the monthly chart after XRP fell to $0.11 in March 2020. Since then, the chart has printed higher lows and higher highs. The lower line has acted as support more than once. The upper line has stopped rallies at $1.96 in April 2021, $3.4 in January 2025, and $3.6 in July 2025. Each time, XRP hit that area and backed away. Clean enough.
Küçüker thinks the same setup may be repeating. In his view, XRP tends to slide toward the lower trendline, recover, and then work back toward the top of the channel. That was the pattern before the moves to $1.96 in April 2021, $3.4 in January 2025, and $3.6 in July 2025. XRP is falling again now, and he sees the next important area near $0.87. That level sits close to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the lower support line. Chart Nerd and Casi are watching that area too. Why does this matter? Because if $0.87 fails cleanly, the whole “same pattern again” argument gets weaker fast. If XRP gets there, holders probably will not enjoy it. Still, charts often start to matter again right when everyone is sick of staring at them. My take: that is annoying, but true often enough to respect.
The wider market matters too, especially macro flow. XRP’s 38% year-to-date loss is not happening in a vacuum. Risk assets have been dealing with cautious global markets, stubborn inflation numbers, and central banks that still cannot get too loose with rates. Most chart-only reads pretend this is background noise. That is only half right. When money tightens, crypto usually feels it quickly, and altcoins often take the harder hit as investors cut speculative positions first. That helps explain why XRP has struggled even though the long-term channel from March 2020 still looks fairly intact. If the Federal Reserve turns more dovish later in the year, or if inflation cools enough for markets to trust it, risk appetite could return. Küçüker’s $10 target probably needs that kind of backdrop. His December 2026 to February 2027 window also gives the economy time to shift, if it does.
Then there is regulation pressure. Any XRP forecast that skips Ripple’s long fight with the SEC feels unfinished, even if the monthly chart does not care about court filings. The lawsuit has weighed on XRP for years. It has hurt sentiment, kept some investors away, and at times made XRP trade differently from other major crypto assets. A clear win for Ripple could bring back demand that has been waiting on the sidelines. A bad outcome would likely do the opposite. This is not a chart point. It is just part of trading XRP. Counter to the usual advice, traders cannot simply “separate the technicals from the news” here. Küçüker’s $10 call seems to assume XRP eventually trades without that legal overhang. Price action matters. So does the courtroom. If the lower trendline holds and the legal picture improves, the rebound could move faster than the channel alone implies.
What this means
The chart still gives XRP a long-term structure, even after the latest selloff. The rising channel has held since 2020, and Küçüker’s case still depends on the same sequence of higher lows and higher highs. Yes, this slightly contradicts the caution above. Bear with me. A legal or macro shock can damage the setup, but until the lower trendline breaks, the structure is still there. That does not make $10 automatic. It means the current drop may be another support test before a bigger move has a chance to form. For now, $0.87 is the level to watch. It sits near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the lower trendline, so bulls need buyers to show up there.
Traders should pay close attention to how XRP behaves near $0.87. Is this overkill for one price level? Not really, because that area ties together Küçüker’s channel, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the next major support test. A strong bounce with better volume would make his chart more believable. A weak bounce, or no bounce, would change the setup quickly. Away from the chart, the Ripple-SEC case still matters. Inflation reports and Federal Reserve comments matter too, because they affect how much money is willing to move back into crypto. We would not treat the December 2026 through February 2027 target window like a countdown clock. It gives XRP about 18 to 20 months to build a base, shake out weak hands, and show whether this channel still has teeth.