Bitcoin (BTC) bullish momentum is “fading” as liquidity shifts preempt a volatile move, new analysis warns.
In an X post on Sep. 6, Keith Alan, co-founder of monitoring resource Material Indicators, flagged fresh shifts on the Binance order book.
Analyst: Bitcoin bulls and bears both lack “real strength”
BTC price has stayed tightly rangebound since the weekend, but exchange data suggests that the status quo may be about to change.
Publishing a snapshot of the BTC/USD order book on Binance, Alan cautioned over what he called “concerning” changes in liquidity.
Bid support moved down to concentrate around $24,600 on the day, with that price level not seen on spot markets since March.
“What is most concerning here is that the largest concentrations of BTC bid liquidity have now moved below the previously established Lower Low at the bottom of the range,” part of accompanying commentary stated.
BTC/USD put in its lowest post-March dip in mid-June, reaching $24,750 before reversing higher, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirms.
BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: TradingView
Continuing, Alan said that he envisioned a similar bounce from current spot levels before any downside returned.
“From a macro perspective, I do expect to see price breakdown eventually, so the thought of printing a new LL isn’t surprising, but I did expect to see a stronger short term rally from this range before that happens,” he wrote.
That said, bears are yet to gain the upper hand entirely.
“At this stage, I’m not seeing either side establish any real strength, in fact, IMO, this move doesn’t indicate strength in bearish momentum as much as it indicates that bullish momentum and sentiment seem to be fading,” he concluded.
Choppy start to the week
Lots of over trading in derivatives market
Perp liquidity increasing a bit
Spot liquidity increasingly thinLikely seeing toxic orderflow today (especially on the bid)
All points to another big move brewing for $BTC
— Skew Δ (@52kskew) September 5, 2023
BTC/USD order book data for Binance. Source: Keith Alan/X
Alan previously highlighted $24,750 as the line in the sand for bulls to hold in order to protect the wider Bitcoin price uptrend.
“Another big move brewing” for Bitcoin
Elsewhere, popular trader Skew agreed that volatility should soon return, pointing to activity on derivatives markets.
Fellow trader Credible Crypto, known for his comparative optimism on BTC price prospects, also hoped that downside would be limited to the high $24,000 range.
“The local low on major liquid/spot exchanges is at 25.2k,” he told X subscribers on the day alongside an explanatory chart.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: CredibleCrypto/X
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.