Crypto asset management firm SwissOne Capital warns that Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market could potentially be impacted by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut. The firm notes that historically, there has been a positive correlation between Bitcoin dominance and U.S. interest rates, suggesting that further rate cuts could stall Bitcoin’s current market share uptrend. Over the past two years, Bitcoin’s dominance has risen from 38% to 58% while the overall market size has doubled to over $2 trillion. However, SwissOne Capital highlights that the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points indicates the start of an easing cycle, which has previously coincided with declines in Bitcoin dominance. During previous rate cut cycles, Bitcoin’s dominance declined as central banks injected liquidity into the global financial system, leading to increased risk appetite and the growth of alternative cryptocurrencies. Therefore, SwissOne Capital suggests that the start of the U.S. rate cut cycle could potentially limit Bitcoin’s further growth in dominance if history repeats itself. The CME’s FedWatch tool also supports the outlook for further rate cuts, with investors expecting another 25 basis point cut by the end of the year.
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