Fantom’s MVRV Ratio Reaches 1.59: Could Further Gains Indicate Overvaluation?
The recent surge in Fantom’s (FTM) price and its rising Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests a promising performance in the altcoin market.
This unexpected momentum has positioned FTM as one of the standout performers among cryptocurrencies in November, raising interest from traders and investors.
“The MVRV ratio hitting 1.59 indicates that FTM is fairly priced, but should it exceed 2, it may signal an overvalued condition,” reports IntoTheBlock.
Fantom’s recent performance, highlighted by its rising MVRV ratio and price surge, indicates significant growth potential, making it a key player in the crypto market.
Fantom’s MVRV Ratio Signals Continued Profitability
As of the current analysis, Fantom’s MVRV ratio has reached 1.59, marking a peak not witnessed in over three months. This indicates that the average holder of FTM tokens is currently sitting on a profit of 59%, giving a bullish signal about the token’s health and sustainability. Following an impressive 8% gain in the past 24 hours, FTM was trading at $0.957, further buoyed by a 30% surge in trading volume, according to CoinMarketCap. These positive movements reflect increased investor confidence, prompting many to consider FTM a potentially rewarding asset.
Market Sentiment and Wallet Profitability Trends
Recent metrics reveal an uplifting trend across Fantom’s ecosystem. The “In/Out of the Money” metric indicates that the percentage of profitable wallets rose from 50% to 58% within the past week. At the same time, the percentage of wallets experiencing losses plummeted from 46% to 39%, enhancing the overall bullish sentiment among FTM holders. This shift in investor sentiment, alongside the accumulation of over 22 million FTM tokens by 4,580 addresses, illustrates a potentially strong support level that may discourage significant sell-offs if FTM approaches key resistance levels.
James Whitfield is markets correspondent at BTCNews. He spent eight years on the equity desk at Bloomberg London before moving to digital assets in 2020, and now leads our daily coverage of spot prices, derivatives and ETF flows. James reads order books for breakfast and has been quoted in the Financial Times, CityAM and CoinDesk. He is a CFA Level III candidate and is based in the City of London.
24/7 Financial Rails: How BNY Plans to Eliminate the Weekend Lag in U.S. Treasuries
What are 24/7 financial rails?
Trading and settlement could run all week. Today, U.S. Treasury markets close Friday afternoon and don’t reopen until Monday. That’s a 60-hour gap. Positions sit unsettled, with counterparty risk still attached.
BNY Mellon is building infrastructure that can trade, clear, and settle around the clock—including weekends and holidays. Most explanations blame outdated technology. That’s only half right. Modern systems can already handle continuous operation; regulation and decades of habit are the bigger restraints. My take: habit may be harder to replace than hardware.
How do 24/7 rails differ from current Treasury infrastructure?
Fedwire processes Treasuries Monday through Friday, 8:30 a.m. to 6:30 p.m. ET. BNY wants that window extended across weekends and holidays. Why does this matter? Because a trade could settle immediately instead of waiting several days. Crypto traders already expect round-the-clock markets. Treasuries, in our view, should work the same way.
Why does the weekend lag matter for Treasury trading?
The math is blunt. A Friday trade left unsettled through Sunday creates 60 hours of exposure. If the counterparty fails inside that window, the money gets stuck. On a large Treasury portfolio, “stuck” can mean millions or billions in inaccessible capital.
Central banks can’t rebalance reserves over the weekend. Asset managers can’t adjust positions either. Hedge funds can’t execute. Everything freezes for two days every week. That sounds normal only because the market has tolerated it for so long.
Consider a specific trade: you buy $500 million in bonds Friday at 3 p.m. You don’t own them until Monday, so the capital remains tied up. Then the Fed moves rates or geopolitics shifts over the weekend. Now you’re holding a stale position that you can’t adjust or hedge. I’ll be honest: for a market this important, that is a strange operating model.
How does this affect crypto investors?
Crypto runs 24/7. Treasury exposure inside crypto—through wrapped Treasuries or yield derivatives—can therefore be hedged while traditional Treasuries sit idle. The mismatch creates arbitrage opportunities for traders with 24/7 infrastructure, usually crypto natives. Close the 60-hour weekend gap and that advantage vanishes. Simple as that.
How is BNY Mellon addressing the weekend gap?
BNY is working with the Fed, clearing houses, and major dealers to upgrade Fedwire. The target is 24/7 real-time gross settlement (RTGS). Trades batch at end of day now; afterward, they would settle instantly. Settlement risk falls to almost nothing.
Is this merely a software upgrade? No. It requires redundant data centers across time zones, enhanced security monitoring throughout the night, and new participant access protocols. Continuous settlement also means continuous operational responsibility.
The Fed hasn’t approved it yet. Officials are still figuring out how 24/7 settlement changes monetary policy and bank supervision. Counter to the usual “technology moves faster than regulation” line, waiting here isn’t automatically irrational: the infrastructure touches core monetary operations.
What is BNY’s timeline?
BNY mentioned pilots starting in 2024. A broader rollout could arrive in 2025-2026, although regulatory timelines usually push that toward 2026-2027. Primary dealers and large asset managers would get access first. Retail brokers follow later. My read: the phased access matters almost as much as the launch date.
What impact could this have on crypto investors and traders?
Crypto traders holding Treasury exposure benefit directly. Instant settlement lowers borrowing costs, while DeFi platforms can offer better Treasury loans. Traders can arbitrage Treasuries across on-chain and off-chain venues without timing risk. Stablecoin issuers using Treasuries as backing can speed up operations too.
Now the uncomfortable part: anyone earning money from the weekend gap loses it. Weekend volatility premiums disappear. Friday-afternoon liquidations won’t happen the same way. Faster rails create winners, sure—but they also erase an existing trade.
How do 24/7 rails compare to traditional settlement systems?
Criteria
Traditional (T+1/5 days)
24/7 Continuous Rails
Settlement latency
1-5 business days
Milliseconds (RTGS)
Counterparty risk window
60+ hours (weekends)
Near-zero (immediate)
Capital efficiency
Low (capital locked)
High (capital recycled)
Operational complexity
Simple (5-day rhythm)
High (24/7 ops required)
Regulatory oversight
Established frameworks
Evolving (still being defined)
High-frequency traders and crypto firms save on hedging. Retail participants get faster settlement, along with lower collateral requirements. The 60+ hour weekend arbitrage window closes. No small change.
When might 24/7 Treasury trading become a reality?
Most expect 2026-2027, pending Fed approval. Europe already does instant settlement through TARGET Instant Payments, adding competitive pressure on the U.S. Crypto exchanges will also probably offer wrapped Treasury trading before traditional Treasuries operate 24/7 natively. Most guides frame the traditional market as the inevitable leader. In this case, it may follow.
What challenges remain in implementation?
The obstacles are real. Cybersecurity comes first, followed by regulatory work. Staffing a desk 24/7 is expensive as well. Run a trading error at 2 a.m. and no one may be available to fix it until morning. The Fed still has to design overnight operations and decide how liquidity crises will be managed. Meanwhile, legacy participants such as traders and clearing houses don’t want to spend millions upgrading systems they’ve already paid for. We think that resistance is easy to underestimate.
How can traders prepare for continuous Treasury markets?
Start by auditing collateral workflows and cutting manual approvals. Learn how on-chain Treasury derivatives work. Then run the numbers on weekend arbitrage strategies, because most will disappear under 24/7 settlement. Watch for Fed pilot announcements. Systems must also support RTGS and continuous operations. Move before the deadline.
FAQ
Why hasn’t the U.S. moved to 24/7 Treasury settlement already?
Risk aversion and system inertia explain part of it. Coordination is harder: the Fed, clearing houses, and dealers all have to move together. Crypto is changing the pressure, while international markets are moving faster. The momentum is building. Still, I’ll push back on the easy answer: caution around core Treasury infrastructure isn’t just stubbornness.
Will 24/7 Treasury settlement reduce yields or treasury prices?
Probably. Lower counterparty risk means lower yields, and spreads tighten. But capital can be recycled faster, which offsets that. The headline effect isn’t the whole effect.
How does this affect stablecoins backed by U.S. Treasuries?
Collateral moves faster. Stablecoin issuers need fewer reserves sitting around, which lowers costs. The result is a bigger stablecoin supply.
Can decentralized finance platforms integrate 24/7 Treasury settlement?
Yes. On-chain Treasury representations—wrapped assets or yield tokens—can connect to BNY’s infrastructure through blockchain bridges. DeFi integrates naturally.
What’s the competitive advantage for early movers?
Tighter spreads and lower collateral costs. Early movers can arbitrage before everyone reprices the change. Who benefits immediately? Crypto natives, because they already operate 24/7.
Will smaller brokers and retail platforms gain access?
Expect a phased rollout. Major dealers and institutions come first. Retail access probably follows 12-18 months later, once compliance is settled.
By the WebCoreLab team – covering fintech infrastructure and crypto-traditional finance convergence since 2018.
Eleanor Ashworth is editor-in-chief at BTCNews. A Cambridge-trained journalist with 18 years across the Financial Times, Reuters and the Telegraph, she joined the crypto beat in 2017 after covering the Bank of England and HM Treasury. She holds the SABEW Best in Business award (2022) and was shortlisted for the British Journalism Awards (2023). At BTCNews she sets the editorial line for Bitcoin and macro markets coverage, with a focus on institutional adoption, regulation and central-bank policy. Based in London.
